"Quantitatively, the rainfall over the country as a whole during the second half of the season is likely to be 104 per cent of the LPA with a model error of plus/minus 8 per cent," the IMD said.

The LPA rainfall over the country for the 1961-2010 period is 88 centimetres.

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Monsoon in the range of 96-104 per cent of the LPA is considered normal. The official rainfall season in the country is from June 1 to September 30.

The onset of monsoon over Kerala was on June 1 and until July 30, the country had received one per cent more rainfall than normal.

The northwest division of the IMD has a 19-per cent deficiency. It comprises Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana and the Union territories of Chandigarh, Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh. The deficiency in Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh is 50 and 59 per cent respectively. Delhi has also recorded a deficiency.

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The central India division has a three-per cent deficiency. The division comprises Goa, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha and the Union territories of Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu. The two Union territories have recorded deficient rainfall.

The south peninsula meteorological division of the IMD has received 19 per cent more rainfall than normal. The division covers Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Kerala, Karnataka and the Union territories of Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Lakshadweep and Puducherry. Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Telangana and Puducherry have received excess rainfall.

The east and northeast India division has also recorded 12 per cent more rainfall. The division comprises West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand and the northeastern states. Meghalaya and Bihar have witnessed excess rainfall. However, the rainfall has been deficient in Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram. 

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